How covid-19 led to donald trump's defeat

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Did the COVID-19 pandemic doom Donald Trump’s re-election? Our study examining the effect of COVID-19 cases on county-level voting in the United States shows that the pandemic led to Trump’s defeat on Nov. 3.

Our analysis suggests that, all things being equal, Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been between five and 10 per cent lower. In particular, Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — which President-elect Joe Biden won by a slim margin — would have remained red if cases had been five per cent lower.

Trump would have also added Michigan to this list if cases had been 10 per cent lower.

This finding is at odds with some initial news analyses that indicated regions with the worst COVID-19 outbreaks voted for Trump.

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Comments ( 2 )
  • [Old Memory]
    2 years ago

    He lost because he is a loudmouth. Should have kept his mouth shut about racial matters.

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    • LloydAsher
      2 years ago

      Yes of course because black voters dont want voter ID... oh wait.

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